Originally Posted by
nfceagles
I’m perfectly accepting of you taking precautions and masking as long as you want, but your risk of hospitalization is no where near 1 in 20. That’s a misunderstanding of the numbers and math involved. I didn’t read previous posters links with explanations. They’re probably better than mine, but in simplistic terms the vaccine reduces your existing risk by 95%. So, hypothetically, if your risk of hospitalization was 1 in 20 without the vaccine, it’s now 95% lower than that. So 5% of 5% or 1 in 400. But even that is conditional on you getting infected which is much lower now that you and many around you are vaccinated. So if you have a 10% chance of getting infected (I think that’s really high honestly now that community rates are much lower), you have a (.10)*(1/400) chance of getting infected and being hospitalized. That’s equal to 1 in 4,000. Again, be as careful as you want to be, but I hope you can worry a little less about the worst case scenarios.
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